Will the game go to extra innings?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Summary

The market prices YES at 47%, up 37.5 points in the last 24 hours on $50 of daily volume. Over the charted period the probability has ranged between 9.5% and 50.0%, trending upward by 36.5 points overall. Liquidity of $61 makes this a thinner market — treat the printed probability with some caution.

AI insight

This is a quantitative read derived from live Polymarket data only — no AI or news research was performed. Connect Ollama for local open-model analysis, or a hosted AI key for web-grounded research. Structurally: liquidity is thin, so the printed probability can move sharply on small orders, and the 37.5-point 24h move suggests new information is being priced in right now — check the news before trading.

Deterministic analysis from live Polymarket data only. Connect Ollama or a hosted AI key for generated reasoning.

Timeline

1. Oct 1

   Charted period opens at 10.5%

   Start of the available price history window.

2. Oct 2

   Period high: 50.0%

   Peak market-implied probability of YES.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for October 1 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game goes to extra innings. This market will resolve to "No" if the game is completed without going to extra innings. For the purposes of this market, a game goes to extra innings if play begins in any inning after the scheduled regulation innings for that game, such as the 10th inning in a standard 9-inning MLB game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game ends in a tie before extra innings are played, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Sources