Steelers vs. Browns: Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q

Probability

30.0%↓ 0.5

Volume

$556

Liquidity

Resolves

Oct 2, 2026

Best bid

—

Best ask

—

Midpoint

50.0%

Spread

100.0%

Probability history — 30 days

Summary

The market prices YES at 50%, down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours on $556 of daily volume. Over the charted period the probability has ranged between 32.5% and 51.0%, trending upward by 0.0 points overall. Liquidity of $0 makes this a thinner market — treat the printed probability with some caution.

Bull case

+Buyers of YES have been in control across the charted period — the probability climbed from 50.0% to 50.0%.
+Sustained volume ($556 lifetime) means the current price reflects real position-taking, not a stale quote.
+At 50%, YES pays roughly 2.0x if the event occurs.

Bear case

−The market has traded as low as 32.5% in this period — pricing is not settled.
−At 50%, NO pays roughly 2.0x if the event fails.
−Resolution is strict — read the criteria below carefully; markets often resolve NO on technicalities.

AI insight

This is a quantitative read derived from live Polymarket data only — no AI or news research was performed. Connect Ollama for local open-model analysis, or a hosted AI key for web-grounded research. Structurally: liquidity is thin, so the printed probability can move sharply on small orders, and the 0.5-point 24h move suggests no major new information in the last day.

Deterministic analysis from live Polymarket data only. Connect Ollama or a hosted AI key for generated reasoning.

Timeline

Sep 25
Charted period opens at 50.0%
Start of the available price history window.
Sep 29
Period high: 51.0%
Peak market-implied probability of YES.
Oct 1
Period low: 32.5%
Lowest market-implied probability of YES.
Oct 2
Currently 50%
Latest print with $556 of 24h volume.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game between Steelers and Browns, scheduled for October 1 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Steelers and the Browns each score at least one point in the first quarter. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. All outcomes are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sources

Polymarket market page

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