Synora is researching — reading markets, searching the news…
Probability
Volume
Liquidity
Resolves
Best bid
Best ask
Midpoint
Spread
Synora is researching — reading markets, searching the news…
The market prices YES at 18%, up 2.2 points in the last 24 hours on $5K of daily volume. Over the charted period the probability has ranged between 14.9% and 41.0%, trending downward by 1.1 points overall. Liquidity of $10K makes this a thinner market — treat the printed probability with some caution.
This is a quantitative read derived from live Polymarket data only — no AI or news research was performed. Connect Ollama for local open-model analysis, or a hosted AI key for web-grounded research. Structurally: liquidity is thin, so the printed probability can move sharply on small orders, and the 2.2-point 24h move suggests no major new information in the last day.
Deterministic analysis from live Polymarket data only. Connect Ollama or a hosted AI key for generated reasoning.
Charted period opens at 19.1%
Start of the available price history window.
Period high: 41.0%
Peak market-implied probability of YES.
Period low: 14.9%
Lowest market-implied probability of YES.
Currently 18%
Latest print with $5K of 24h volume.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.