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Probability
Volume
Liquidity
Resolves
Best bid
Best ask
Midpoint
Spread
Synora is researching — reading markets, searching the news…
The market prices YES at 0.9%, up 0.2 points in the last 24 hours on $365K of daily volume. Over the charted period the probability has ranged between 0.4% and 5.3%, trending downward by 3.8 points overall. Liquidity of $112K makes this a thinner market — treat the printed probability with some caution.
This is a quantitative read derived from live Polymarket data only — no AI or news research was performed. Connect Ollama for local open-model analysis, or a hosted AI key for web-grounded research. Structurally: liquidity is thin, so the printed probability can move sharply on small orders, and the 0.2-point 24h move suggests no major new information in the last day.
Deterministic analysis from live Polymarket data only. Connect Ollama or a hosted AI key for generated reasoning.
Charted period opens at 4.7%
Start of the available price history window.
Period high: 5.3%
Peak market-implied probability of YES.
Period low: 0.4%
Lowest market-implied probability of YES.
Currently 0.9%
Latest print with $365K of 24h volume.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.