Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Probability

0.1%↑ 0.0

Volume

$234K

Liquidity

$483K

Resolves

May 30, 2027

Best bid

—

Best ask

99.9%

Midpoint

0.1%

Spread

0.1%

Probability history — 30 days

Summary

The market prices YES at 0.1%, up 0.0 points in the last 24 hours on $100K of daily volume. Over the charted period the probability has ranged between 0.1% and 0.3%, trending downward by 0.2 points overall. Liquidity of $483K makes this a thinner market — treat the printed probability with some caution.

Bull case

+Buyers of YES have defended the recent range — the probability has held above its 0.1% low.
+Sustained volume ($234K lifetime) means the current price reflects real position-taking, not a stale quote.
+At 0.1%, YES pays roughly 1000.0x if the event occurs.

Bear case

−The market has traded as high as 0.3% in this period — pricing is not settled.
−At 0.1%, NO pays roughly 1.0x if the event fails.
−Resolution is strict — read the criteria below carefully; markets often resolve NO on technicalities.

AI insight

This is a quantitative read derived from live Polymarket data only — no AI or news research was performed. Connect Ollama for local open-model analysis, or a hosted AI key for web-grounded research. Structurally: liquidity is thin, so the printed probability can move sharply on small orders, and the 0.0-point 24h move suggests no major new information in the last day.

Deterministic analysis from live Polymarket data only. Connect Ollama or a hosted AI key for generated reasoning.

Timeline

Jul 17
Charted period opens at 0.3%
Start of the available price history window.
Aug 7
Period low: 0.1%
Lowest market-implied probability of YES.
Aug 17
Currently 0.1%
Latest print with $100K of 24h volume.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Polymarket market page

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