Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Summary

The market prices YES at 0.2%, up 0.0 points in the last 24 hours on $417K of daily volume. Over the charted period the probability has ranged between 0.1% and 0.1%, trending upward by 0.0 points overall. Liquidity of $259K makes this a thinner market — treat the printed probability with some caution.

AI insight

This is a quantitative read derived from live Polymarket data only — no AI or news research was performed. Connect Ollama for local open-model analysis, or a hosted AI key for web-grounded research. Structurally: liquidity is thin, so the printed probability can move sharply on small orders, and the 0.0-point 24h move suggests no major new information in the last day.

Deterministic analysis from live Polymarket data only. Connect Ollama or a hosted AI key for generated reasoning.

Timeline

1. Jul 17

   Charted period opens at 0.1%

   Start of the available price history window.

2. Jul 27

   Period low: 0.1%

   Lowest market-implied probability of YES.

3. Aug 17

   Currently 0.2%

   Latest print with $417K of 24h volume.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources